Mike Allen,
I think you need to get out of the Northeast corridor a little bit. Your Playbook for 2012 is old news.
With the ever growing tea party's emphasis on smaller government, fiscal responsibility,and bringing the proper power balance between states and the federal government, I do not see any of the candidates that you highlighted garnering much support from the libertarian leaning tea party.
If the Republican elites push forward any of these big government republicans then you will probably see a very strong tea party effort to counter.
If you were smart you would be also looking a candidates who are libertarian leaning such Ron Paul, Jim Demint and others who have not surfaced yet. Social and security issues are not driving the train anymore. There is war fermenting in this country and it's between Jeffersonian / free market / states rights decentralist and Hamiltonian/Keynesian/socialist/centralizing statist.
Everyone you name is either a statist candidate (Mike Pence, Mitt Romney) running on social issues, (Mike Huckabee) or security issues (Sara Palin, Newt Gingrich) and none of these can bring libertarians on board.
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